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Sunday, February 23, 2014

Sunday = Forecast of good investments



Scenario continues the same in Brazilian stock markets...

As you can compare with last week's graph, we had one more week that was not capable of breaking the down tendency of IBOV, and we continue going down. I hope IBOV changes this scenario this week, otherwise, IBOV will go deep down.

As I have been mentioning many times, when you have a scenario like this, the best thing to do is to keep the money outside of the markets or to earn money with the market going down (I already wrote 2 posts about how to do so).

The good thing is that with A LOT of research, you can find some good stocks to buy, as KROT3 (described on last post) which achieved 2% of profit.

This week, majority of stocks are going down and only 2 stocks call my attention.
PFRM3 - Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 16.94 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 16.09
ARTR3 - Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 16.52 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 15.55

Have a great week!

Leonardo Monte.

50th Profitable trade of the blog in 10.5 months

I'm extremely happy today, because this blog achieve the 50th correct investment in less than 1 year, even though IBOV is going down for the last 4 months.

I'm dedicating a lot of hours every week to make the best analyses possible because I want to show that it is possible to earn money on stocks, even with bad markets.

This forecast was made on Feb 09 (CLICK HERE to read the post) and the stock achieve 2% of profit in 8 days.

With this result, we continue with more than 70% of forecasts correct!

Best regards,
Leonardo Monte.

Sunday, February 16, 2014

Sunday = Forecast of good investments

This week was better than the last one, but we continue in the low tendency as you can see on this graph. IBOV is trying to break the tendency, but this is not happening. If it closes above 49,000, then we may go lateral for some time, which is better than low!

Few stocks present a good momentum. The problem is that it doesn't last a lot and they go back to a low tendency again.

Last week's forecast (KROT3) increased 1% and our goal is 2%. Let's see how it goes.

For this week, I continue with the same idea of keeping my money on my account, because I don't want to take risks with my money. I annalyzed MANY stocks and I still don't feel confident to put my money on the markets. Of course there are opportunities, but after analyzing return and risks, my choice is not to invest in stocks this week.

Let's wait. At least we are not losing money!

Have a great week.

Leonardo Monte.

Sunday, February 9, 2014

Sunday = Forecast of good Investments


As I said on my last post IBOV there was a good probability that IBOV would continue going down. That happened on Monday (-3%) in just one day. On Thursday and Friday, IBOV increased. Does this means we are going up???

No. IBOV is still going down, and it needs more days going up, so we can do more conservative trades.

LAst week I mentioned KLBN4 and BRIN3 with good momentum, and I was correct when I decided not to post on the blog. They fell during this week (even if I had posted, nothing would have happened with your money, because we use Start Gain orders and, in both cases, the stocks would not have achieved the Stat Gain prices). That is the beauty of Start Gain: If a stock falls before we buy, that is not a problem, because our money continued safe in the account! :-)

One stock that calls my attention is KROT3. This trade has 89% of chance of achieving profit. The problem is that the Stop Loss is huge (-7.6%). I will use order Start Gain as usual, and I will invest less money than usual, because of the size of the Stop Loss and because IBOV is still going down.

As you can see on the table, this stock operates very well this methodology. So, I will invest, but less than usual.

Let's see what happens.

KROT3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 37.25.

Have a great week.

Leo.

Sunday, February 2, 2014

Sunday = Forecast of good Investments

As I posted last week (read full post HERE) IBOV had a good probability of continuing going down and that happened as you can see on the picture (only friday was a good day).

What to do now? I will continue with the same strategy as last week, because I don't like to lose money. Therefore, I prefer to buy when I see a confirmation that the market is going up, instead of taking risks with my money.

There are some stocks that improved last week and seem to present a good momentum to buy, and I really thought about investing my money in 2 stocks that have around 70% of probability of increasing 2% to 3%. The problem is that they are just 2, among a lot of other stocks that continue going down. The stocks I'm thinking about are BRIN3 and KLBN4, but I won't post as a forecast on the blog (I won't post Buy prices, goal, Stop Loss) as usual, because I still think it is risky.

Next week I will continue talking about IBOV and I will post what happened with BRIN3 and KLBN4.

Have a great week, and let's see if IBOV improves this week.

Leonardo Monte.