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Sunday, April 12, 2015

+22%, +27% and benchmark +10%. Pick the right companies to invest in Brazil

IBOV had a good week gaining +2% and closing around 54k points. As I mentioned in my last post, the next resistance is at 56k.

I posted 2 forecasts last week. TRPL4 didn't start because price didn't achieve our trigger to buy it (Start Gain order).

BRFS3 started and achieved +2% of profit this week! And we sold 2 positions of BRFS3 because we had another position from 2 weeks ago. Now, we keep 30% of the position we bought.

After this forecast, this blog has 87 profitable forecasts (76%) and 28 (24%) losses.

In our portfolio, we have 30% of what we bought for these stocks

                      %              IBOV
 - IGTA3    +22.4%        +10.6%
 - PSSA3    +27.8%        +10.0%
 - BRPR3   +  4.6%        +  8.2%    (let's increase Stop Loss to 11.94)

For next week, 2 stocks call my attention.
 - ALPA4: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF) achieves 10.21 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +2% ; Stop Loss 9.71
- BEEF3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF) achieves 8.34 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +2% ; Stop Loss 7.88
 (both stocks have 75% of chance of achieving profit based on my back-tests)

Have an excellent week!

Leo.


Sunday, April 5, 2015

+27%, +14%, +14% in 3 months. Stocks in Brazil are getting stronger.

IBOV had a great week, closing above 53k points, breaking a very important resistance at 52k points. The next resistance is at 56k. Let's wait and see if IBOV achieves that really fast or if it is going to go lateral for a while.

Our investments continue very well.

                    %        IBOV %
 IGTA3    +14.4       +8,4
 PSSA3    +27.6       +7.8
 BRPR3   +14.0       +6.0

We started a trade with BRFS3 2 weeks ago that is still going, and I'm thinking about increasing my position in that, so, for next week, I'm thinking:

BRFS3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 63.52 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +2% ; Stop Loss 60.88
TRPL4: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 42.02 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +2% ; Stop Loss 39.44
(both trades have more than 75% of chance of achieving profit according to my back-tests)

Have an excellent week!

Leo