Sunday = Prediction of good investments

I am having a problem with my homebroker tonight, therefore I am only able to show statistics for AMBV4. My goal is to show statistics for all predictions.

AMBV4 - Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 84.02 ; Stop Gain +3% ; Stop Loss: 80.75
CIEL3 - Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 55.52 ; Stop Gain +3% ; Stop Loss: 53.85
UGPA3 - Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 53.94 ; Stop Gain +3% ; Stop Loss: 51.39
ELET6 - Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 9.38 ; Stop Gain +3% ; Stop Loss: 8.69
SUZB5 - Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 8.34 ; Stop Gain +3% ; Stop Loss: 7.75

Last week, POMO4 did not start and TRPL4 started (both predictions were to earn money if prices go down). Let's see what happens with TRPL4.

Best,
Leonardo.

Prediction of good investments - Long Term

A lot of people are telling me that they prefer to invest in long term than doing fast trades.

And everybody knows that in the future I will create my own investment fund.

IF I had created my investment fund, I would invest on these stocks (10% on each).

PS: This is completely different from my other posts (this is not a trade - there is no Start Gain or Stop Loss/Stop Gain). This is group of stocks that I would invest. I hope all of them increase their prices, but I know that due to probabilities, some will increase and some will reduce. My plan is to beat IBOV, Treasury Bonds and Regular savings.

PS2: If you invest your money in funds, you know you should not look at the stock prices every single day, because a lot of things can happen during the month, and you are investing in LONG term. Therefore, just put a follow up on your Outlook to remind you to visit this page on July 31. then, again in the end of the next months.

PS3: If you prefer to do fast trades, I will continue to post them every Sunday.

I just finished one more algorythm!

I just finished one more backtest using all Brazilian stocks since Jul/2007.
Result: Green is good ; Red is bad!

Therefore, I am only going to invest in green!

On my next post I will show some predictions using this methodology and let's see what happens.

Best,
Leonardo.

Prediction of good investments

As I mentioned last week, I would say some hints to earn more money when the market is going down. It is a little bit more advanced than investing when the market is going up, but it can produce huge profits as I have been describing on many of my last posts.

Also, I will start to show the probability of achieving profit based on the 2 methodologies I have. Therefore, every week, I will post the prediction and all backtests that support it.

PS: All prices were downloaded on yahoo finance.

Results - 3 months

This is the result of 3 months investing using just one methodology. It is much better than 3 benchmarks, specially, if this blog is compared to IBOV (Brazilian Stock Market) and, as everybody knows, I am only investing in Brazilian stocks.
In July I will start investing with 2 methodologies and I will show my investments when the market is going down.
Best,
Leonardo.

9th Profitable Investment of the blog

On the last days, almost all stocks reduced their prices... A lot of people had their Stop Loss achieved, even though they did everything correctly. As I always said "It is preferable to lose 5% than 90% as OGXP3".
The great thing is that this prediction of June 2nd achieved +10% of profit this week.

NOW, due to one of my last posts and methodology #2, everybody know how to operate UPs and DOWNs of the market.

Good luck for traders!

Best,
Leo.

Methodology #2 to invest in stocks

Today I want to share with you the second methodology I have been using since 2008. The first one is more conservative because you only buy/sell according to the tendency of the price. The second one is good to use with stocks that are oscillating a lot, for example PETR4 ( 0% in the last year). Also it is great to use this methodology when the market is going down (scenario in Brazil currently).

In this picture I show the combination of the 2 methodologies I use, and I show if it was executed buying (UP) or selling (DOWN). Blue arrow means PETR4 achieved PROFIT and Red arrow means it achieved LOSS.

Therefore, in 1 year, using only 2 methodologies, the score "Profit x Loss" was 7 x 2! So, it means you have the chance to earn 25% (every profit = +5% and every loss = -5%) with a specific amount of money with a stock that earned nothing in the same period.

PS: I already added the methodology #2 to the material I am selling on this blog.
PPS: I will send this material to everybody that already bought the methodology until Friday.
PPPS: I will record a video explaining both methodologies (in Portuguese and in English) and I will send with the presentation to everybody who buys the methodology. I will also send to everybody who bought methodology #1.

Best,
Leonardo.