80% of profitable trades while benchmark going down

IBOV had a terrible week, opening at 50.8k points and closing at 48.5k points losing -4.5% in just 5 days... Downward trend and things can get worse...

I'm increasing the amount I invest in brazilian treasury bonds (such as LFT) because it is paying 14.25% per year risk-free. How is this possible? Inflation... For brazilians, this is terrible because central bank is increasing the interest rate to try to control the inflation. BUT, if you are a foreigner investor, this makes a lot of sense. So, I imagine that the big funds are getting the money out of the stock market and buying treasury bonds.

This is what I'm going to do this week!

We have an excellent track record because we only invest in stocks that we believe they will go up. In 2 years, we got more than 75% of profitable trades. In 2015 we got more than 80% of profitable trades and IBOV is down in the same period.

This week, we sold our 3 positions in PSSA3. The first one with aprox. 30% of profit, which is amazing! Why not holding more time? Because I think there is too much risk... Also, we sold our positions in EQTL3 for the same reason. We will buy these stocks again when we see a great opportunity.

These are the stocks that we still have in our portfolio
                        %                IBOV (in the same period)
BRFS3         +10.9              -6.3
BRFS3         +11.4              -7.2
GETI3          +13.8             -15.1
BRFS3          +9.7               -9.2
VLID3          +0.5               -10.0
CTIP3           +3.4               -9.9

Have an excellent week!

Leo.

Best stocks to invest in Brazil

IBOV partially recovered from the big loss that happened the previous week. Last week it opened at 49.2k points and closed at 50.8k, earning +3.3%. I'm still cautious about Ibov.

Last week I posted about the stocks that we have in our portfolio. we sold 2 of the stocks because they achieved our new stop loss (TAEE11 and LREN3). All other stocks recovered and BRFS3 earned almost +10% in just one week.

Next week I will post another table that compares our stocks to IBOV.

For next week, there is only one stock that I'm planning to invest (if the price achieves my trigger)

PSSA3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 38.95 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +2% ; Stop Loss 36.87

Have a great week and I hope you earn a lot of money this week!

Leo.

IBOV missed important support. What to do now?

After 8 weeks IBOV missed the support at 52k points, falling down -5.9% to 49.2k points. This is a bad signal because Ibov is in a downward trend after this week.

In my personal opinion, this is happening because there is an expectation that Brazilian Central Bank will continue increasing Interest rate to control inflation. This attracts more investments to fixed income instead of stocks.

This week, I'm not planning to invest in new stocks. Let's focus on the profit that we have in the stocks in our portfolio. If they achieve our "Stop Loss" price we will sell the stock and have profit very similar to first column. If it goes up, it is even better.

                       %              IBOV (at same period)
PSSA3       +30.7            -0.1                 Increase Stop Loss to 36.18
BRFS3       +5.6              -5.0                 Increase Stop Loss to 66.44
BRFS3       +6.0              -5.9                 Just like previous
GETI3        +14.7            -13.9               Perfect movement. Let's leave the way it is.
TAEE11     -0.1               -8.8                 Increase Stop Loss to 19.94
BRFS3       +4.4              -8.0                 Just like previous BRFS3
EQTL3       +3.5             -8.5                  Increase Stop Loss to 34.68
LREN3       -2.4              -8.3                 Increase Stop Loss to 105.79
PSSA3       +2.1              -9.0                 Just like previous PSSA3
VLID3       +2.3              -8.8                 Don't change anything this week.
CTIP3        +4.2              -8.6                 Don't change anything this week
EQTL3      -3.2               -6.4                 Just like previous EQTL3

Next week I hope to find stocks that have more than 75% of change of achieving profit.

Have a great week.

Leo.

All Investments beating the markets

IBOV closed practically at the same price it opened, after falling -2% during the week and recovering on Friday. Can we say 52k points is a good support? Probably yes. So, let's wait and see if IBOV goes up next week.

Last week, my forecast was about EQTL3. The trade started and earned +1.5% in just 4 days (there was a holiday) but we will only sell 70% of what we bought when it achieves +2%. Let's wait one more week.

Last week I promised a summary of the stocks that we have 30% of what we bought. You can find the day I posted all forecasts just reading the blog.

                   Stock (%)      IBOV (% in the same period)
PSSA3         +43.1             + 6.7
BRFS3         + 8.6             + 1.4
BRFS3         + 9.0             + 0.5
GETI3         +11.9             - 8.0
TAEE11      + 3.3              - 2.6
BRFS3        + 7.3              - 1.7
EQTL3        + 6.4              - 2.2
LREN3        + 5.5              - 2.1
BBDC4       + 0.9              - 2.8
PSSA3        +11.7             - 2.8
VLID3        + 1.4              - 2.6
CTIP3         + 3.9              - 2.4

For next week.
GRND3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 17.18 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +2% ; Stop Loss 16.33
(this trade has more than 70% of achieving profit according to my back-tests).

Have a great week!

Leo.

+44.1% of profit in 5 months

IBOV didn't have a good week, losing -2.5%. But, our investments are up one more time!

2 weeks ago, we invested in PSSA3. It earned +7.3% in the first week and after 2 weeks it earned + 12.5%. Excellent!

Last week I posted 2 forecasts (click here to read forecasts):
 - VLID3 earned +5.6% in just 5 days
 - CTIP3 earned +3.5 in just 5 days
We continue having more than 75% of profitable trades.

Another great news is that our first position in PSSA3 (bought almost 5 months ago) achieved +44.1% of profit! (Forecast posted on Feb 15th - read forecast here). This is perfect! In the same period, IBOV earned +6.5%.

All other stocks that we previously invested are beating IBOV. You can find a summary on previous posts and I will post a new summary next week.

For next week, there is 1 stocks that I want to invest (if the stock achieves my start gain price).

EQTL3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 36.43 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +2% ; Stop Loss 34.36

Have a great week!

Leo.

We earned +7.3% in just 1 week by following last week's forecast

Ibov had another lateral week and we earned +7.3%! Excellent!

I posted 2 forecasts last week (click here to read them) and both did very well. PSSA3 earned +7.3% and BBDC4 + 3.1%.

Now, we have 2 trades with PSSA3. The first one is earning +37.4% (while Ibov is +9.6% on the same period) and the second one +7.3% (while Ibov is -0.1%). Also, TRPL4 achieved +2% of profit this week.

All other stocks that I listed last week continue beating Ibov and we continue doing trades that have more than 75% of chance of achieving profit.

For next week, these are the stocks that I plan to invest (if the stock achieves my Start Gain price).
VLID3: Start Gain (Buy ONLY IF achieves) 49.23 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you bought) +2% ; Stop Loss: 46.82
CTIP3: Start Gain (Buy ONLY IF achieves) 33.84 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you bought) +2% ; Stop Loss: 32.44
(both stocks have more than 75% of chance of achieving +2% according to my back-tests).

Have a great week and show this blog to your friends.

Leo.

Our investments in stocks are kicking benchmark's ass

IBOV is trying to go up, which is a good signal. 3 weeks in a roll with a small gain. Since we practically don't invest in stocks correlated to IBOV, such as PETR4 and VALE5, our gains are bigger than IBOV.

2 weeks ago I posted 3 forecasts (click here to read them). and 2 of them already achieved profit and one is still going on (TRPL4). After these trades we have 93 profitable trades (74%) ; 32 losses (25%) and 1 trade going on (1%).

EQTL3 gained +2.5% in 2 weeks and LREN3 gained +2.2%. Therefore we sold 70% of what we bought and kept 30% of the original position.

This is the summary of all 30% positions that we have. All forecasts can be found on this blog.

                         %        IBOV (%) in the same period
PSSA3         +28.0        +9.0
BRFS3           +6.4        +3.7
BRFS3           +6.8        +2.7
GETI3            +9.5        -6.0
TAEE11         +3.4        -0.5
BRFS3           +5.2        +0.5
EQTL3           +2.5        -0.1
LREN3           +1.2        +0.1

These are the stocks that call my attention for next week:
PSSA3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 36.52 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you bought) +2% ; Stop Loss 34.88
BBDC4: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 28.22 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you bought) +2% ; Stop Loss 26.89

Please, share this blog with your friends that want to earn more money with their investments.

Have a great week!

Leo.