Sunday = Forecast of good Investments

Scenario is not good for Brazilian Stock Market... Since mid October we have been going down. There were 2 quick excepetions (mid November and end of December), but January started we the low tren continued.

IBOV lost an important support in the begining of  January (50,000 points) and last Friday closed at 47,787.

Is it possible to earn money currently?

The answer is YES. It is not easy to buy a stock right now and say that there is a good probability that the price will increase. BUT, it is possible to earn a lot of money when the stocks are going down (click HERE to read my post about it). To sum up: Borrow a stock going down, sell it, repurchase in a lower price.

My forecast for next week as I do every Sunday: Don't buy a stock right now. I analyzed many stocks, looking for those with a good probability of increasing its price, and it is risky!

What am I going to do this week? Keep the money on the account and wait for a good signal on IBOV and on stocks.

Have a great week and let's see if IBOV goes up!

Leonardo Monte.

Sunday = Forecast of good Investments

It has not been easy to invest in Emerging Markets for the las 12 months. IBOV has had some ups and downs, but continues in low tendency (IBOV had a bad signal last week, closing under 50,000 points at 49,181). I always prefer to invest in stocks that are growing and, currently, there are few options to do that.

One stock that has been presenting a good performance since the end of July/2013 is CSNA3. In the last 3 weeks its priced reduced, and know, I believe it is a good time to buy it.

CSNA3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 14.15 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 13.42

Have a great week!

Leonardo Monte.

49th Correct Forecast in 9.5 months

Celebrating!!! 49th Correct investment in 9.5 months! This means almost 5 correct forecasts per month!!!

I predicted this trade on January 5th (click here to read the post) with a probability of 83% of increasing +2% and that is what happened!

Tonight I will post my forecast for next week.

Leonardo Monte.

Sunday = Forecast of good investments

Last week IBOV gave a bad signal to the market, because it went down a very important support (50,000 points).

Right now, majority of stocks have a low tendency. There are stocks in a high tendency, but the value of the Stop Loss would be high, wich means risk.

This stock (KROT3) is the most conservative trade I found for the next week.

KROT3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 39.21 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 37.45

Have a great week!

Leonardo Monte.

Results of first 9 months - End of 2013

Here are the results of the first 9 months of the blog.

I'm happy with these results because Brazilian Stock Market (IBOV) had a terrible year in 2013, falling -8.60% since the day I started the blog, even though Stocks in the EUA and in Japan earned more than +25%.

How I got a profit of +8% in the same period?

How I got more than 70% of my forecasts correct?

1) I only post on this blog the most conservative forecasts (every post you can see a table showing the probabilities of achieving profit for that stock). I spend hours every weekend looking for the best opportunities.

2) Another reason is that a cut losses really fast, because I dont know if the stock will continue falling even more (every post has a Stop Loss). I think it is preferable to lose 5% than losing 10%. It is math.

This blog (and I hope you too) finished the year with more than 70% of correct investments and I want to share with you some news for 2014!

1) During my vacation I spent many days developing new methodologies.
2) These new methodologies work in the Brazilian Markets and American Markets. I have to test in others Markets, for example Japan and European.
3) I have friends helping me to develop a better website.

Therefore, 2013 was a great year for followers of this blog, and I'm sure that 2014 will be even better.

Please, share this blog with your friends that like to invest in stocks!

Send me a message by email, Facebook or Twitter with your comments.

Best Regards,
Leonardo Monte.

Sunday = Forecast of good Investments

First forecast of 2014!

I'm studying a lot and I hope to keep up the good work of 2013. On my next post I will present the results of 2013.

For this week, I believe these are the best opportunities (there were others, but they seemed riskier than these ones, an I prefer to be conservative).

VIVT4: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 46.02 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 43.45
GGBR4: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 18.62 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 17.68

Have a great 2014!

Leonardo Monte.

47th & 48th Profitable Investment in 9 months

2013 ended and on the last day of the year 2 trades achieved the profit I was expecting. As you can see on the graph, today was a terrible day for both.

KROT3 achieved +2% of profit in 4 days. This prediction was posted on Dec 22, and you can read the post clicking here.

VALE5 was a prediction of a really fast trade that had more than 90% og probability of achieving profit, and it was exactly what happened. In just one day, achieve +1% as I expected (click here to read the prediction tha I did on Dec 29)

On my next post I will show you the results of the first 9 months of the blog and my plans to expand the blog in 2014.

Happy new year!

Leonardo Monte.