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Sunday, July 20, 2014

Pick the right stocks and see your profit grow





Ibovespa had an excellent week as you can see on the first chart. Friday closed above the resistance and we may have some corrections next week, but there is a good probability that we will continue seeing IBOV growing the next week.

This week 3 astocks achoeved the target I posted on the blog. After this week, we have 68 correct forecasts (73%), 24 losses (26%), 1 trade going on (1% - PCAR4).

As you can see on the second chart, ITUB4 achieved +5.1% of profit (read the forecast here). Now, we remain with 30% of what we bough, waiting to sell at a higher price.

The third chart shows another profitable forecast. IGTA3 achieved +8.0% of profit (read the forecast here). As we are doing with ITUB4, we remain with 30% of what we bought.

The fourth chart shows BRML3. It achieved +2% of profit (read the forecast here), and we also remain with 30% of what we bought, waiting to sell with more profit.

Last week, we increased our Stop for SLCE3, and the stock achieved our Stop Loss, closing the 30% of our position. The trade ended with a profit of +0.7%. We did the right thing, as I mentioned last post (read here) that this stock was not going as forecasted and could go down. Just for you to know, it went down -5% and we avoided having this loss by increasing our Stop.

We will do the same thing with 2 other stocks this week: ESTC3 and ARTR3. ESTC3 is earning +18% since I post the forecast in the blog, but last week was a really bad week, and I prefer to increase our Stop, and have around 16% of profit in 3 months than see our profit reduce (all trade needs an exit strategy). Let's increase the Stop Loss for ESTC3 to 27.45 (this will be 16% of profit). If it increases again this week, even better! ARTR3, let's increase Stop Loss to 18.22.

Here is the summary of the stocks that we have 30%:
KROT3: +31%
ESTC3: +18%
IGTA3: + 8%
KROT3: +10% (second time we bought)
CSAN3: -0.8%
ITUB4: +5%
BRML3: -0.5%
ABRE11: -0.1%
ARTR3: -2.4%
ITUB4: +5% (second time we bought)

For next week, these are the stocks with the best probabilities of going up, according to my methodologies.
ABRE11: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 36.39 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +2% ; Stop Loss 34.87.

Have a great week!

Leo.

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