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Uma excelente semana para IBOV! Não há outra maneira de começar este post a não ser dizendo essa frase.

Desde a metade de março, o Ibovespa vem subindo, como você pode ver no ponto 1 do gráfico, o que nos permite fazer realmente bons investimentos como descreverei em breve. Depois de março, IBOV vem em tendência de alta e, na semana passada, aumentou ainda mais, como você pode ver no ponto 2. O que isso significa? Isso significa que há uma boa probabilidade de que esta tendência irá continuar na próxima semana.

A melhor parte é que compramos muitas ações neste período e estamos surfando esta GRANDE onda de lucro! Abaixo está um resumo das ações que você está investindo, se você está seguindo todas as previsões deste blog (leia posts anteriores para ler quando eu postei todas as previsões):

KROT3: + 33,9% (comprado 3 meses atrás)

ESTC3: + 22,1% (comprado 3 meses atrás)

IGTA3: + 11,8% (comprado 2 meses atrás)

KROT3: 12,0% (segunda vez que foi comprado - 2 meses atrás)

CSAN3: - 4,2% (comprado há 45 dias)

ITUB4: + 6,9% (comprado há 45 dias)

BRML3: + 5,8% (comprado 40 dias atrás)

ABRE11: + 8,3% (comprado há 1 mês)

ARTR3: -0,8% (comprado 20 dias atrás)

PCAR4: + 5,0% (comprado 20 dias atrás)

ITUB4: + 6,9% (segunda vez que foi comprado - 2 semanas atrás)

ABRE11: + 6,3% (segunda vez que foi comprado - comprado na semana passada)

Na semana passada, duas previsões atingiram o nosso alvo e vendemos 70% do que nós compramos. Agora, continuamos com 30% da nossa posição e vamos esperar por um maior lucro para vendermos. ABRE11 (leia previsão aqui) aumentou 6,3% e PCAR4 (leia previsãoaqui) aumentou 5,0%.

Com esses resultados, temos 70 previsões corretas (74,5% das previsoes) e 24 perdas (25,5%), o que é muito coerente com as previsões, porque nós só investimos em ações que têm mais de 70% da chance de alcançar o lucro.

Aqui estão as ações que chamam a minha atenção para a próxima semana:

GGBR4: Compra Start (compre SOMENTE SE alcançar) 13,89; Stop de Lucro (vender 70% do que você comprar) +3%; Stop de Perda 12,92

LAME3: Compra Start (compre SOMENTE SE alcançar) 12,65; Stop de Lucro (vender 70% do que você comprar) +3%; Stop de Perda 11,94

UGPA3: Compra Start (compre SOMENTE SE alcançar) 54,97; Stop de Lucro (vender 70% do que você comprar) +2%; Stop de Perda 52.33

Tenha uma ótima semana!

Leo.

How to increase your profit by investing in stocks in Brazil

What an excellent week for IBOV! There is no other way to start this post than by saying that phrase.

Since mid-March Ibovespa has been going up as you can see on point 1 of the graph, allowing us to do really good investments as I will describe soon. After March, IBOV stayed in high tendency and last week, it increased even more as you can see in point 2. What does it mean? It means that there is a good probability that this trend will continue next week.

The good thing is that we bought many stocks and we are surfing this BIG wave of profit! Here is a summary of the stocks that you are investing, if you are following all forecasts of this blog (please read previous posts to read when I posted all forecasts):

KROT3: + 33.9% (bought 3 months ago)
ESTC3: + 22.1% (bought 3 months ago)
IGTA3: + 11.8% (bought 2 months ago)
KROT3: +12.0% (second time we bought – 2 months ago)
CSAN3: - 4.2% (bought 45 days ago)
ITUB4: + 6.9% (bought 45 days ago)
BRML3: + 5.8% (bought 40 days ago)
ABRE11: + 8.3% (bought 1 month ago)
ARTR3: -0.8% (bought 20 days ago)
PCAR4: + 5.0% (bought 20 days ago)

ITUB4: + 6.9% (second time we bought – 2 weeks ago)

ABRE11: + 6.3% (second time we bought - last week)

Last week 2 forecasts achieved our target and we sold 70% of what we bought. Now, we remain with 30% of our position and let’s wait for a higher profit. ABRE11 (read forecast here) increased +6.3% and PCAR4 (read forecast here) increased +5.0%.

With these results, we have 70 correct forecasts (74.5%) and 24 losses (25.5%), which is very consistent with the forecasts, because we only invest in stocks that have more than 70% of chance of achieving profit.

Here are the stocks that call my attention for next week:

GGBR4: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 13.89 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +3% ; Stop Loss 12.92

LAME3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 12.65 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +3% ; Stop Loss 11.94

UGPA3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 54.97 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +2% ; Stop Loss 52.33

Have a great week!

Leo.

Pick the right stocks and see your profit grow

Ibovespa had an excellent week as you can see on the first chart. Friday closed above the resistance and we may have some corrections next week, but there is a good probability that we will continue seeing IBOV growing the next week.

This week 3 astocks achoeved the target I posted on the blog. After this week, we have 68 correct forecasts (73%), 24 losses (26%), 1 trade going on (1% - PCAR4).

As you can see on the second chart, ITUB4 achieved +5.1% of profit (read the forecast here). Now, we remain with 30% of what we bough, waiting to sell at a higher price.

The third chart shows another profitable forecast. IGTA3 achieved +8.0% of profit (read the forecast here). As we are doing with ITUB4, we remain with 30% of what we bought.

The fourth chart shows BRML3. It achieved +2% of profit (read the forecast here), and we also remain with 30% of what we bought, waiting to sell with more profit.

Last week, we increased our Stop for SLCE3, and the stock achieved our Stop Loss, closing the 30% of our position. The trade ended with a profit of +0.7%. We did the right thing, as I mentioned last post (read here) that this stock was not going as forecasted and could go down. Just for you to know, it went down -5% and we avoided having this loss by increasing our Stop.

We will do the same thing with 2 other stocks this week: ESTC3 and ARTR3. ESTC3 is earning +18% since I post the forecast in the blog, but last week was a really bad week, and I prefer to increase our Stop, and have around 16% of profit in 3 months than see our profit reduce (all trade needs an exit strategy). Let's increase the Stop Loss for ESTC3 to 27.45 (this will be 16% of profit). If it increases again this week, even better! ARTR3, let's increase Stop Loss to 18.22.

Here is the summary of the stocks that we have 30%:
KROT3: +31%
ESTC3: +18%
IGTA3: + 8%
KROT3: +10% (second time we bought)
CSAN3: -0.8%
ITUB4: +5%
BRML3: -0.5%
ABRE11: -0.1%
ARTR3: -2.4%
ITUB4: +5% (second time we bought)

For next week, these are the stocks with the best probabilities of going up, according to my methodologies.
ABRE11: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 36.39 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +2% ; Stop Loss 34.87.

Have a great week!

Leo.

Forecast of good investments in Brazil

 

Today was the end of the World Cup in Brazil, with Germany as the champion and Argentina as second place. This is important, because Brazilian stock market was working half period every time Brazil played in the World Cup, reducing the volume of Ibovespa in the period.

As you can see on the first chart, IBOV continues in high tendency with a target at 56,000 (currently at 54,700).

On the second chart you can see the 65th correct forecast of the blog. ARTR3 achieved 2.1% of profit in 4 days, and we sold 70% of what we bought (read the forecast here). I hope you did this trade with us! After this correct forecast, we continue with more than 70% of our forecasts correct. Last week, PCAR4 started and VALE5 didn't.

Other stocks that we are invested: KROT3 (+31.8%), ESTC3 (25.7%), SLCE3 (-2.3%. Let's increase the Stop Loss of this stock to 17.99 (it was 17.19). CSAN3 (-1.0%), ITUB4 (-0.8%), ABRE11 (+1.0%), ARTR3 (+2.1%). You can see all the forecasts of these stocks on previous posts.

This week, forecast for 2 stocks:

ITUB4: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 33.46 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +2% ; Stop Loss 31.46.
PSSA3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 33.61 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy) +2% ; Stop Loss 31.88.

Have a great week.

Leo.

Investments in Brazil seem a good opportunity right now

IBOV did what we expected during last week, staying inside the parallel lines as you can see on the first chart, increasing its price on Tuesday. The expectation is that it will continue its movement during next week.

Last week I posted 3 forecasts (click here to read the post). 2 didn't start because they didn't achieve our Start Gain price (LIGT3 and TIMP3). ABRE11 started and already achieved our first target of +2% and we sold 70% of what we bought having this profit. The remaining 30% we expect to sell at a higher price, as we a doing with the other remaining 30% (read last post to see profitability of these stocks).

For next week, 3 stocks call my attention.

PCAR4: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 106.37 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy at) +2% ; Stop Loss 101.42
ARTR3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 18.67 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy at) +2% ; Stop Loss 17.74
VALE5: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 27.97 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy at) +2% ; Stop Loss 25.89

Have a great week and share this blog with your friends.

Leo.