Sunday = Prediction of good investment

Last prediction of 2013!

After a terrible year for IBOV (down -13%), this blog did some really good and conservative investments. Next week I will post the results of 2013 of the blog.

My last prediction is a trade that I hope it starts and ends really fast. Also it is low risk (short Stop Gain and short Stop Loss) and it has 94% of probability of achieving the profit (if it starts).

VALE5: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 32.54 ; Stop Gain +1% ; Stop Loss 31.38

I wish everybody and EXCELLENT 2014!

Leonardo Monte.

46th Profitable Investment in 9 months

Excellent!

This was the 46th profitable investment of this blog in 9 months! As I predicted last Sunday (click here to read the post) there were some good stocks to invest during the short week.

JSLG3 had 96% of chance of achieving 2% of profit and this was exactly what happened! You can see on the picture above that the trade started on Monday and finished on Friday (Tue and Wed were holidays).

GOLL4 was another good investment, because it had 81% of chance of achieving 4% of profit! It achieved as I expected, however, it opened on Monday with a GAP, and I could not buy, because my Start Gain price was very inferior to this price. After achieving +4%, the stock reduced a little bit. Unfortunetely, I could not buy it, and, therefore, I consider a correct prediction but it was not profitable.

KROT3 and CPLE6 started, and we still have MPLU3 going one from past weeks. Let's wait another short week to check if they achieve Stop Gain.

Have a great weekend!

Leonardo Monte.

Sunday = Prediction of good Investments

 

Here are my prediction of good investments for the short week we will have next week. Good probabilities of achieving their profit. Be aware that GOLL4 is riskier than the others because of the large Stop Loss.

JSLG3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 15.72 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 14.58
KROT3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 38.52 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 36.63
GOLL4: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 10.12 ; Stop Gain +4% ; Stop Loss 9.21
CPLE6: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 31.94 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 30.14

Merry Christmas,
Leonardo Monte.

44th 45th Profitable Investments

Excellent week! As I posted yesterday, IBOV is not in a low tendency anymore (it is not high either. It is lateral). But just this simple change made 2 predictions achieve their profits!

As I predicted last sunday (click here to read the post) LIGT3 had a good probability of going up and that was exactly what happened! This trade was a little bit different than the others, because LIGT3 paid dividends ($0.53 per share, as you can read an official transcript here). Just that was more than 2%. The good thing is that the stock increased its price +3%. Therefore, if you sold it today, you earned +5% in just one week!

GOAU4 also achieved profit this week. This one I predicted on December 1st (click here to read the post). It had some problems last week as you can see on the graph, but this week earned a lot, and achieved +2% that I predicted it would earn,

So far, we still have MPLU3 going on.

At the end of this week, we started 65 trades. 46 were profitable (70.8%) ; 18 we had loss (27.7%) ; 1 (1.5%) is going on.

Good news, I am using my vacation to develop new backtests for new methologies, and I am testing them in the Brazilian and in the American market!

Have a good weekend!

Leonardo Monte.

Brazilian Stock Market earns +2.21% today

IBOV increased a lot today and seems that the down tendency is not going to happen on the next days. Does it mean that IBOV is going UP? No... This means that it can go lateral for some days (at least this is better than going down).

As I mentioned many times on my past posts, it was really important that IBOV respected the 50,000 points. If IBOV had gone down this number, it would be much more difficult to buy brazilian stocks.

The good thing is that after 12 days practically between 50.000 and 51.000, IBOV is trying to go up and this will probably increase the number of stocks we can buy.

If it goes more than 52,500, than it would mean that IBOV is not lateral, and it is in a high tendency.

Let's see how it goes.

Best,
Leonardo Monte.

Sunday = prediction of good Investments

As I mentioned on my last post, IBOV continues in low tendency, testing the support at 50,000 points.

Therefore, it is time to be conservative with trades. These are the most conservative trades I found to invest my money.

LIGT3: (buy ONLY IF achieves) 21.63 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 20.63
CESP6: (buy ONLY IF achieves) 23.61 ; Stop Gain +1% ; Stop Loss 22.34
KROT3: (buy ONLY IF achieves) 39.68 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 37.84

Have a great week.

Leonardo Monte.

Sunday = prediction of good investments

 

IBOV continues in low tendency, since the end of October approximately. As I said in the beginning of November (click here) it is a little more difficult to invest buying stocks, but it is possible to earn money when the market is going down. Also, I am trying to do very conservative and fast trades on the blog (buying), looking for the best opportunities for readers of the blog.

This week, there will be only one prediction:

VALE5: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 33.02 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 31.40

PS: Last week MPLU3 and GOAU4 started and now we have to wait for Stop Gain or Stop Loss.

Have a great week.

Leonardo Monte.

Sunday = Prediction of good Investments

Here are my prediction of good investments for next week.

I picked these 2 among others to talk about something really important if you are a trader. The importance of Stop Loss and the importance of dividing your money among investments.

Every time I invest I divide my money among the stocks of the week and I divide the money based on the Stop Loss. HOW???

I calculate how much money I can afford to lose of the trade achieves Stop Loss, because, sometimes the Stop Loss is 5%. Other times can be 11% (example MPLU3).

So, every person has to know how much you can afford to lose, and divide the money among trades. In this case, you could decide to divide X on GOAU4 and X/2 on MPLU3. Therefore, if MPLU3 achieves Loss, you will lose the same amount if GOAU4 achieves loss.

This is a suggestion that helps when you have trades with huge Stop Loss like MPLU3.

Another thing I want to discuss quickly, is the Stop Gain price. I recommend the one that has a good probability and a good 'profit-loss'. You may decide to sell everything on +1% because the probability is higher. Others my decide to sell everything on +5% because it has the best 'profit-loss'. Other may sell 50% of the trade at 1% and the rest at 3%. Conclusion: You should do something that makes you comfortable.

IBOV continues with a lot of volatility, and the market is testing 51,000 and 54,000 almost every week.

Predictions:
GOAU4: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 23.62 ; Stop Gain +2% ; Stop Loss 22.38
MPLU3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 29.46 ; Stop Gain +3% ; Stop Loss 26.05

Have a great week.

Leonardo Monte.