Sunday = Forecast of good investments

As you can see on the first graph IBOV presents a lateral tendency (3 weeks in a roll). Because of this uncertainty, some stocks go up and some go down, keeping IBOV practically flat.

KROT3 didn’t start again, so we didn’t buy it and we are saving money, because the stock is reducing a little bit each week. This is one more benefit of using order ‘Start Gain’ instead of ‘Normal’ buy order. If we had used a ‘Normal’ buy order we would be losing money, but, because we only use ‘Start Gain’ on this website, we never lost money on this trade.

As I was expecting (posted last week) TCSA3 reverted its price and the stock is really going down and we did the right thing by elevating our Stop Loss, otherwise, we would lose a mot of money by not using Stop Loss or by not elevating it.

GETI3 started last week, and let’s see if it achieves Stop Gain during this week.

For this week, my forecasts of good investments are:

KROT3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 47.82 ; Stop Gain (sell 70%) +2% ; Stop Loss 44.85

ESTC3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 23.67 ; Stop Gain (sell 70%) +2% ; Stop Loss 22.45

Have a great week.

Leonardo Monte.

Forecast of good investments

IBOV increased 1.78% on Thursday (Friday was a holiday) and it shows that it really wants to continue going up. As you can see on the first graph, IBOV is lateral currently and needs to break the resistance to continue going up as it happened in the past weeks.

KROT3 didn’t start again, but the stock continues being a good opportunity.

For next week, I believe these stocks have a good probability of going up:

KROT3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 49.16 ; Stop Gain (sell 70%) +2% ; Stop Loss: 45.74

GETI3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 15.93 ; Stop Gain (sell 70%) +2% ; Stop Loss: 15.22

We still have opened positions in BEEF3 and TCSA3 from old forecasts waiting for a conclusion. BEEF3 is still going up, but TCSA3 reduced a lot after achieving our target of 3% of profit. Therefore, let’s increase the Stop Loss of the remaining 30% of the stocks we have to 6.94. So, if the stock goes up, it is excellent, if the stock goes down and achieve Stop Loss, we will end the trade with 0% of profit, but it is better than keeping the stock if it continues going down. We can use this money to invest in stocks going up.

Have a great week.

Leonardo Monte.

Sunday = Forecast of good investments

After practically 3 weeks going up, this week IBOV did a lateral movement, which is normal after so many days going up. It is important that IBOV closes the week above 52,000 (next resistance), so, it can continues the movement to 54,000 (next resistance after 52,000).

As I wrote on my last post, this week TCSA3 achieve our target, and we sold 70% of what we had purchased, having +3% of profit. I will continue with 30% of TCSA3 (long term) and I will post here the new target to sell it (we will continue using Stop Gain and Stop Loss).

KROT3 didn’t start and we have the chance to buy it at a lower price than last week.

BEEF3 started the trade, increased 1.9% but it didn’t achieve +2% as I wanted, and the stock fell in the rest of the week. I continue with the stock, but the problem is that the movement I was expecting didn’t happen. Let’s wait one more week.

This week, my forecast of good investment is KROT3 again:

KROT3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves): 49.36 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you purchase) +2% ; Stop Loss: 45.91 

Have a great week!

Leonardo Monte.

55th Profitable Trade in 12.5 months

As I posted on March 30 (click here to read the forecast), TCSA3 had 89% of chance of achieving 3% of profit and that was exactly what happened this week as you can see on the graph. We sold 70% of what we purchased and we have 30% for long term (I will post the price to sell it).

Now, we have 55 profitable trades posted on the blog (72.4% of trades) ; 20 losses (26.3% of trades) and 1 trade going on (1.3% of trades).

Thank you.

Leonardo Monte.

Sunday = Forecast of good Investments

This wednesday IBOV had another great day for investors, ending the day in the best level of this year, closing losses that started in January. On Thursday and Friday the index reduced a little bit, but we clearly continue in the high tendency. The next resistance is 52,000 and let's see if IBOV closes above this level next week.

NEW METHODOLOGY: Due to the bull market, I will start posting a different strategy that takes more advantage of this kind of market. This will be the first time I will post this, because 2013 was a terrible year for IBOV.

While we have a bull market, I will recommend a stock in the same way I always post, BUT we will not sell everything when achieve the goal. We will sell 70% of the stocks on the goal (2%, 3% or 4%) and I will tell you when to sell the rest of the stocks (we will continue using automatic orders such as Stop Gain and Stop Loss) but this orders will probably be higher, generating more profit!

In most stocks (while bull market), we will sell the remaining 30% in a couple of weeks or in a couple of months, with a lot of profit. In a couple of stocks, we will sell the remaining 30% in a price bellow the price we sold the first time (stocks that reverted the high tendency to low tendency).

I willl continue using probabilities to write all posts, and everything I post on the blog is exactly what I'm doing with my own investments.

Forecast of good investments for this week:

KROT3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 50.67 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy at) +2% ; Stop Loss 47.88

BEEF3: Start Gain (buy ONLY IF achieves) 10.58 ; Stop Gain (sell 70% of what you buy at) +2% ; Stop Loss 9.74

PS: Last week TCSA3 paid $0.46 as dividends. Therefore, I adjusted the graph and our goal to sell 70% of what we bought is 7.78. The maximum of this week was 7.77, so, for just 0.01 we didn't sell with 3% of profit. Let's see what happens this week.

Best,

Leonardo Monte.